Dean In 1st By One Percentage Point
POSTED: 4:37 PM CST January 15, 2004
UPDATED: 5:01 PM CST January 15, 2004
DES MOINES, Iowa -- It looks like the Iowa caucuses are too close to call.
Results of an exclusive NewsChannel 8 poll released Thursday show Howard Dean is leading among Iowa Democrats, but only by one percentage point. And his competitors have gained ground.
Out of 607 Iowans surveyed this week, the former Vermont governor has support from 22 percent of Democratic caucus voters – that is down 7 percent from a KCCI poll taken just one week ago.
Sen. John Kerry is right behind Dean at 21 percent, and Missouri Rep. Richard Gephardt and John Edwards are tied at 18 percent.
[b]In one week, Dean lost his cushion for a win, and Edwards support jumped 10 percent. With a 4 percent margin of error, the Iowa caucus has become a four-way race.[/b]
“We may see some buyer's remorse at the moment in Dean supporters, concerned about whether he has the temperament to be a good president,” said KCCI political analyst Dennis Goldford.
Edwards said he isn’t surprised by the jump in his support.
"I don't know how much faith to put in [the poll numbers], but they seem to be consistent with what I'm seeing on the ground and consistent with all these calls we're getting into our office every day," Edwards told NewsChannel 8.
With the exception of Bill Clinton in 1992 – when he ran against Iowa Sen. Tom Harkin -- no candidate has ever finished below third in the Iowa caucus and gone on to win their party’s nomination.